Francisco Alvarez
- The Mets’ roster as it stands starts at C · 413 PA · 2.1 WAR in the role
- Injured list 2026: Right meniscus tear (May 13–Jun 9)
- Trade read Unlikely to be traded: NYM expects to contend (63% playoff odds) and he’s a regular.
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 419 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 119 | .284 | .323 | 34% | 10% | 33% | −0.49 | +1.61 |
| RHP | 300 | .335 | .324 | 30% | 9% | 31% | −0.31 | +1.49 |
- Attack angle
- 10.6° (60% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- −0.4°
- Swing length
- 7.3 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 40%
- Pull-air %
- 13.8%
- Hard-hit %
- 48.0%
- Slash · wRC+
- .233/.311/.400 · 99
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage down and in (+3.8 vs. league per 100; 1.7 standard errors on 51 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest middle-away (−1.1), but only 0.5 standard errors from average on 104 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,560 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Alvarez: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | Griffin Conine MIA · ’97 | .368 | 1.8 | 1.3 | Pre-arb |
| 58 | Matt Olson ATL · ’94 | .351 | 4.0 | 2.5 | Signed $22.0M |
| 57 | Shea Langeliers ATH · ’97 | .352 | 2.3 | 2.4 | Arb |
| 57 | Owen Caissie MIA · ’02 | .301 | −0.5 | 0.1 | Pre-arb |
| 55 | Austin Riley ATL · ’97 | .296 | 1.0 | 1.3 | Signed $22.0M |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No MLB fielding yet. | ||||||
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
No directional data (needs a qualified season at one position).
Tools (percentile among MLB fielders)| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Too few balls in his zone. | |||
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026AAA | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 24 | 4 | 14 PA | 14 PA · .231/.286/.385 · 0 HR · 28.6% K · 7.1% BB |
| 2025A | A | St. Lucie Mets | 23 | 3 | 12 PA | 12 PA · .100/.250/.100 · 0 HR · 25.0% K · 16.7% BB |
| 2025AA | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 23 | 5 | 24 PA | 24 PA · .273/.333/.409 · 1 HR · 16.7% K · 4.2% BB |
| 2025AAA | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 23 | 26 | 107 PA | 107 PA · .258/.355/.688 · 12 HR · 30.8% K · 10.3% BB |
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant