Players / Player profile
MIA · RF

Owen Caissie

Age 24 B/T L/R 6′4″, 190 lb Canada MLB debut 2025
40-man FV 45 · #8 in org
  • Miami’s roster as it stands part-time RF · 309 PA (RF 309) · 0.1 WAR in the role
  • Injured list 2026: Lumbar stress reaction (Sep 13–Sep 28)
  • Trade read Available at a price: MIA 38% playoff odds; control through 2031.
xwOBA .301 wOBA .310
2026 fWAR −0.5
Projected 2027 WAR 0.1 at 368 PA · 0.1 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 330 PA

xwOBA .301 xwOBA: .301, 25th percentile
Swing decisions −0.25 Swing decisions: −0.25, 35th percentile
Contact value −0.15 Contact value: −0.15, 41st percentile
Bat speed 75.1 Bat speed: 75.1, 88th percentile
Squared-up / swing 16% Squared-up / swing: 16%, 6th percentile
Blasts / swing 8% Blasts / swing: 8%, 56th percentile
EV90 107.1 EV90: 107.1, 86th percentile
Barrel % 14.4% Barrel %: 14.4%, 94th percentile
Chase % 30.2% Chase %: 30.2%, 47th percentile
Zone contact 77.6% Zone contact: 77.6%, 8th percentile
Strikeout % 37.0% Strikeout %: 37.0%, 0th percentile
Walk % 8.2% Walk %: 8.2%, 42nd percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP41.266.21446%5%28%−1.76−2.46
RHP289.316.31336%9%30%−0.03+0.08
Attack angle
12.3° (40% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−3.2°
Swing length
7.1 ft
Fast-swing rate
51%
Pull-air %
18.4%
Hard-hit %
44.8%
Slash · wRC+
.220/.288/.412 · 89

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−0.6+2.3+2.9−1.1+0.3+1.8+0.7−1.5−1.8−0.2−1.1+2.1−2.8+1.8−3.0+0.4−2.3+1.7+3.4−0.7+0.3−1.4−0.3−1.0−1.2LHB

Does the most damage down and in (+3.4 vs. league per 100; 1.5 standard errors on 51 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest middle-middle (−2.8), but only 1.3 standard errors from average on 79 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,221 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Caissie: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
66Austin Riley ATL · ’97.2961.01.3Signed $22.0M
57Francisco Alvarez NYM · ’01.3241.42.0Arb
57Max Muncy ATH · ’02.287−0.3−0.1—
55Kyle Stowers MIA · ’98.3291.61.8Arb
49Ramón Laureano SD · ’94.3120.21.0Free agent

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
RF −6.1 −13.6
LF −7.1prior −17.6
1B −5.6prior −21.1
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026RF−7−6−2.4−8.42,654
2025LF+1+1−0.1+0.955
2025RF+1+1−0.2+0.8162

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at RF)
2025 · RF2026 · RF In (charging) 0−2Back +1−2Toward 3B line 0−3Toward 1B line 00vs. RHH +1−1vs. LHH 0−6

At RF in 2026, the biggest loss came toward 3B line (−3 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among RFs)
Arm at RF 89.3 mph · 61st
Sprint speed 28.3 ft/s · 77th
Reaction +0.7 ft · 73rd
Burst +0.3 ft · 58th
Route 0.0 ft · 44th
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★1128%
★★★★030%
★★★3838%
★★161984%
★121580%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026RF2530.0

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.1 WAR Pre-arb $780K*
2028 0.2 WAR Pre-arb $803K*
2029 0.3 WAR Arbitration $1.4M*
2030 0.3 WAR Arbitration $1.6M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AAAAAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp23313 PA 13 PA · .429/.692/1.286 · 2 HR · 30.8% K · 38.5% BB
2025AAAAAAIowa Cubs2299433 PA 433 PA · .286/.386/.551 · 22 HR · 27.9% K · 13.2% BB

FanGraphs: FV 45 · ETA 2026. Public pitch tracking exists only at Triple-A and some Florida State League parks.

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 60% 6/10 won · −0.2 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.