Players / Player profile
WSH · SS

CJ Abrams

Age 26 B/T L/R 6′0″, 191 lb USA MLB debut 2022
40-man
  • Washington’s roster as it stands starts at SS · 578 PA · 2.8 WAR in the role
  • Trade read Likely available: WSH projects to miss the playoffs (22% odds) and he has 2 years of control left: a natural trade candidate.
  • PNC Park Pittsburgh’s home park: +2.0 runs per 600 PA against an average park (+0.20 wins over 591 PA; his WAR leaves this out); home runs ×0.99 (×0.99 for left-handed hitters as a group). Park Fit →
xwOBA .332 wOBA .364
2026 fWAR 3.7
Projected 2027 WAR 2.7 at 591 PA · 2.8 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 652 PA

xwOBA .332 xwOBA: .332, 67th percentile
Swing decisions −0.81 Swing decisions: −0.81, 15th percentile
Contact value +0.93 Contact value: +0.93, 75th percentile
Bat speed 73.0 Bat speed: 73.0, 63rd percentile
Squared-up / swing 20% Squared-up / swing: 20%, 29th percentile
Blasts / swing 7% Blasts / swing: 7%, 40th percentile
EV90 104.2 EV90: 104.2, 50th percentile
Barrel % 10.6% Barrel %: 10.6%, 71st percentile
Chase % 36.9% Chase %: 36.9%, 15th percentile
Zone contact 81.0% Zone contact: 81.0%, 24th percentile
Strikeout % 24.2% Strikeout %: 24.2%, 32nd percentile
Walk % 8.1% Walk %: 8.1%, 39th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP207.322.28030%5%42%−1.50+0.50
RHP445.384.35621%9%35%−0.49+1.14
Attack angle
14.5° (58% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−7.5°
Swing length
7.7 ft
Fast-swing rate
25%
Pull-air %
22.7%
Hard-hit %
40.6%
Slash · wRC+
.261/.336/.497 · 124

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−0.8+0.6−1.6+0.1+0.2−0.1+2.1−1.0+0.7+2.2−1.5+0.2+4.1−0.7+0.3−3.0+1.2+2.5+2.6+0.7−1.5+3.0+3.3−1.2+0.6LHB

Does the most damage middle-middle (+4.1 vs. league per 100; 2.2 standard errors on 141 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest up over the middle (−1.0), but only 0.5 standard errors from average on 125 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,267 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Abrams: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
66Ty France SD · ’94.3283.61.0Free agent
64Jeremy Peña HOU · ’97.3263.43.2Arb
60Victor Mesa Jr. TB · ’01.3312.62.3Pre-arb
60Willy Adames SF · ’95.2960.41.8Signed $31.1M
59Jackson Merrill SD · ’03.3484.24.1Signed $7.1M

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
SS −10.0 −2.5
2B −8.6 −9.1
3B −9.5prior −10.0
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
20262B00+0.1+0.1467
2026SS−17−13+1.2−11.84,838
2025SS−11−8−0.8−8.85,410
2024SS−18−14−1.3−15.35,033
2023SS−9−7−1.0−8.05,712

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at SS)
2025 · SS2026 · SS In (charging) −4−15Back 0+1Toward 3B line 00Toward 1B line −6−2vs. RHH −10−15vs. LHH 0−3

At SS in 2026, the biggest loss came in (charging) (−15 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among SSs)
Arm at SS 85.3 mph · 67th
Sprint speed 28.4 ft/s · 80th
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026SS444−0.7
20262B41−0.8
2025SS524−1.9
2024SS525−10.1

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 2.7 WAR Arbitration $8.8M*
2028 2.7 WAR Arbitration $13.8M*
2029 2.6 WAR Free agent
2030 2.3 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2025AAAAHarrisburg Senators2427 PA 7 PA · .000/.286/.000 · 0 HR · 14.3% K · 28.6% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 86% 12/14 won · +0.8 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.