Players / Player profile
AZ · RF

Corbin Carroll

Age 26 B/T L/L 5′10″, 180 lb USA MLB debut 2022
40-man
  • Arizona’s roster as it stands starts at RF · 587 PA · 4.4 WAR in the role
  • Trade read Unlikely to be traded: A star (4.4 projected WAR): clubs move players like this only in a full rebuild, usually in his last year of control.
xwOBA .342 wOBA .349
2026 fWAR 4.2
Projected 2027 WAR 4.4 at 600 PA · 4.4 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 667 PA

xwOBA .342 xwOBA: .342, 76th percentile
Swing decisions −0.19 Swing decisions: −0.19, 39th percentile
Contact value +0.50 Contact value: +0.50, 64th percentile
Bat speed 75.5 Bat speed: 75.5, 91st percentile
Squared-up / swing 22% Squared-up / swing: 22%, 45th percentile
Blasts / swing 11% Blasts / swing: 11%, 88th percentile
EV90 105.8 EV90: 105.8, 74th percentile
Barrel % 12.2% Barrel %: 12.2%, 81st percentile
Chase % 29.7% Chase %: 29.7%, 50th percentile
Zone contact 79.0% Zone contact: 79.0%, 14th percentile
Strikeout % 22.6% Strikeout %: 22.6%, 44th percentile
Walk % 10.3% Walk %: 10.3%, 73rd percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP210.419.35722%11%27%−0.23+1.82
RHP457.317.33523%10%31%−0.17−0.01
Attack angle
10.6° (65% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
+0.8°
Swing length
7.5 ft
Fast-swing rate
53%
Pull-air %
20.3%
Hard-hit %
48.2%
Slash · wRC+
.239/.328/.467 · 115

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+0.4+1.1+1.8+3.1−0.5+0.2−3.7+0.4−2.6−0.6+1.5+1.2−1.7−0.3+0.8+2.2−1.1+3.5+4.0+1.5−1.0+0.6−0.9−1.6+0.5LHB

Does the most damage down and in (+4.0 vs. league per 100; 1.9 standard errors on 92 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest up and away (−3.7), but only 1.8 standard errors from average on 95 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,411 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Carroll: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
67Andrés Chaparro WSH · ’99.3421.00.5Pre-arb
67Matt Olson ATL · ’94.3514.02.5Signed $22.0M
66Ronald Acuña Jr. ATL · ’97.3661.82.2Club option $17.0M
65Joc Pederson TEX · ’92.3441.40.4Free agent
62Shea Langeliers ATH · ’97.3522.32.4Arb

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
RF +3.9 −3.6
CF −4.5 −5.0
LF +1.9prior −8.6
1B +4.4prior −11.1
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026RF+10+9−5.5+3.55,569
2025CF+2+1−0.1+0.9126
2025RF+9+8−2.5+5.55,095
2024RF+7+6−1.6+4.42,722
2024CF+4+3−1.7+1.32,930
2023CF−1−1−1.5−2.51,294
2023RF+3+2−2.4−0.42,042
2023LF+3+2−2.4−0.42,074

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at RF)
2025 · RF2026 · RF In (charging) +3+7Back +1+2Toward 3B line +3+1Toward 1B line +30vs. RHH +6+6vs. LHH +4+4
Tools (percentile; arm among RFs)
Arm at RF 83.9 mph · 13th
Sprint speed 29.7 ft/s · 97th
Reaction +1.4 ft · 86th
Burst +0.9 ft · 76th
Route −0.7 ft · 17th
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★72924%
★★★★61060%
★★★121580%
★★293388%
★171989%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026RF608+13.1
2025RF517+9.3
2024RF287+3.2
2024CF345−9.2

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 4.4 WAR Guaranteed $12.6M
2028 4.4 WAR Guaranteed $14.6M
2029 4.2 WAR Guaranteed $28.6M
2030 4.0 WAR Guaranteed $28.6M

Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2025ROKROKACL D-backs2414 PA 4 PA · .000/.500/.000 · 0 HR · 0.0% K · 50.0% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 75% 6/8 won · +0.4 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.