Joc Pederson
- Free agent est. 1 yr × $4.3M ($2M–$10M) if his mutual option is declined · +0.5 wins to Pittsburgh’s Winter Plan as a bench bat
1 caution
- Holds a $18.5M mutual option for 2027; one side almost always declines.
- Injured list 2026: Left wrist fracture (Sep 22–Sep 28)
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 429 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 36 | .276 | .280 | 39% | 8% | 29% | +0.56 | −1.77 |
| RHP | 393 | .363 | .350 | 22% | 11% | 30% | +0.40 | +0.51 |
- Attack angle
- 9.7° (56% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- −3.3°
- Swing length
- 7.5 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 21%
- Pull-air %
- 20.5%
- Hard-hit %
- 50.9%
- Slash · wRC+
- .235/.330/.487 · 128
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage up and in (+6.1 vs. league per 100; 2.6 standard errors on 46 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest down and in (−3.7), but only 1.7 standard errors from average on 76 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,551 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Pederson: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | Rafael Devers SF · ’96 | .343 | 3.4 | 2.7 | Signed $33.0M |
| 65 | Corbin Carroll AZ · ’00 | .342 | 4.2 | 4.4 | Signed $12.6M |
| 64 | Wilyer Abreu BOS · ’99 | .348 | 3.3 | 2.9 | Arb |
| 63 | Andrés Chaparro WSH · ’99 | .342 | 1.0 | 0.5 | Pre-arb |
| 62 | Sal Stewart CIN · ’03 | .342 | 2.0 | 2.1 | Pre-arb |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | RF | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31 |
| 2026 | 1B | −1 | −1 | −1.1 | −2.1 | 296 |
| 2025 | RF | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15 |
| 2025 | 1B | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 82 |
| 2023 | RF | −1 | −1 | 0.0 | −1.0 | 137 |
| 2023 | LF | −3 | −2 | +0.2 | −1.8 | 724 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
| Play | Made | Chances | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| ★★★★ | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| ★★★ | 0 | 0 | — |
| ★★ | 0 | 0 | — |
| ★ | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Too few balls in his zone. | |||
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
His 2027 is a $18.5M mutual option, decided ≈ Nov 1–5 (either side can decline it). The Free-Agent Board expects it declined, so it prices him as a free agent. Contract Studio →
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025AA | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 33 | 2 | 7 PA | 7 PA · .333/.429/.333 · 0 HR · 28.6% K · 14.3% BB |
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant