Gunnar Henderson
- Baltimore’s roster as it stands starts at SS · 603 PA · 4.6 WAR in the role
- Trade read Unlikely to be traded: A star (4.4 projected WAR): clubs move players like this only in a full rebuild, usually in his last year of control.
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 700 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 225 | .316 | .284 | 23% | 7% | 30% | −0.26 | −0.42 |
| RHP | 475 | .329 | .339 | 22% | 10% | 31% | +0.34 | 0.00 |
- Attack angle
- 10.1° (50% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- −0.6°
- Swing length
- 7.3 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 38%
- Pull-air %
- 22.2%
- Hard-hit %
- 43.3%
- Slash · wRC+
- .225/.309/.403 · 101
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage middle-in (+3.6 vs. league per 100; 1.7 standard errors on 90 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest up and in (−0.1), but only 0.1 standard errors from average on 76 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,523 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Henderson: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | Henry Davis PIT · ’99 | .298 | 0.6 | 0.2 | Arb |
| 71 | Trevor Larnach MIN · ’97 | .329 | 2.2 | 1.0 | Arb |
| 67 | George Springer TOR · ’89 | .309 | 0.9 | 0.7 | Free agent |
| 66 | Christian Walker HOU · ’91 | .304 | 1.6 | 0.5 | Signed $20.0M |
| 65 | Nathaniel Lowe CLE · ’95 | .338 | 0.5 | 0.4 | Free agent |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | SS | +1 | +1 | −0.3 | +0.7 | 5,632 |
| 2025 | SS | −3 | −2 | +1.1 | −0.8 | 5,364 |
| 2024 | SS | 0 | 0 | −1.8 | −1.8 | 5,824 |
| 2023 | SS | 0 | 0 | −0.1 | −0.1 | 2,405 |
| 2023 | 3B | 0 | 0 | −0.1 | −0.1 | 2,539 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
At SS in 2026, the biggest loss came in (charging) (−6 outs): a coaching target.
Tools (percentile; arm among SSs)| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | SS | 528 | −4.5 |
| 2025 | SS | 560 | +6.5 |
| 2024 | SS | 565 | +7.9 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025AAA | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 24 | 5 | 20 PA | 20 PA · .263/.300/.579 · 2 HR · 20.0% K · 5.0% BB |
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant