STL · C

Pedro Pagés

Age 28 B/T R/R 5′11″, 245 lb Venezuela MLB debut 2024

40-man

St. Louis’ roster as it stands part-time C · 324 PA (C 324) · 0.8 WAR in the role
Trade read Available at a price: STL 27% playoff odds; control through 2030.

xwOBA .277 wOBA .270

2026 fWAR 0.6

Projected 2027 WAR 0.9 at 344 PA · 0.8 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026

212 PA: percentiles need 300+, so values only

xwOBA .277

Swing decisions −0.62

Contact value −0.72

Bat speed 72.8

Squared-up / swing 15%

Blasts / swing 6%

EV90 104.0

Barrel % 4.4%

Chase % 34.9%

Zone contact 85.5%

Strikeout % 26.4%

Walk % 6.6%

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vs	PA	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%	Chase	Decisions	Contact
LHP	95	.238	.257	29%	7%	34%	−0.10	−1.48
RHP	117	.297	.293	24%	6%	36%	−1.11	+0.13

Attack angle: 11.0° (45% in 5–20°)
Attack direction: −6.4°
Swing length: 7.2 ft
Fast-swing rate: 23%
Pull-air %: 13.0%
Hard-hit %: 38.0%
Slash · wRC+: .217/.275/.312 · 65

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

Does the most damage middle-away (+2.5 vs. league per 100; 1.1 standard errors on 52 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest up over the middle (−4.8; 2.1 standard errors below average on 39 pitches). Pitchers should attack here.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 801 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Pagés: bat path, contact quality and approach

Similarity	Player	xwOBA	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
66	Eli White BOS · ’94	.267	0.7	0.6	Arb
62	Ezequiel Duran TEX · ’99	.302	4.4	2.2	Arb
62	Connor Wong BOS · ’96	.284	−0.2	0.0	Arb
59	Leody Taveras BAL · ’98	.280	0.4	0.2	Arb
55	Daulton Varsho HOU · ’96	.283	0.8	1.6	Free agent

Daulton Varsho (similarity 55, 1.6 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar swing available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth

C +2.6 +15.1

1B −2.0prior −17.5

Outs Above Average by position

Season	Pos	OAA	Range	Arm, DP	Runs	Batters
2026	1B	0	0	0.0	0.0	15
2025	2B	0	0	0.0	0.0	14

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 1B)

2026 · 1B In (charging) 0Back 0Toward 3B line 0Toward 1B line 0vs. RHH 0vs. LHH 0

Tools (percentile among MLB fielders)

Arm strength —

Sprint speed 25.5 ft/s · 10th

Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)

Season	Zone	Balls	Outs vs. exp.
Too few balls in his zone.

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.9 WAR Arbitration $2.0M*

2028 0.7 WAR Arbitration $3.2M*

2029 0.5 WAR Arbitration $4.5M*

2030 0.2 WAR Arbitration $4.8M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 0% 0/2 won · −0.4 runs

As catcher 59% 30/51 won · −1.9 runs