Players / Player profile
COL · 3B

Kyle Karros

Age 24 B/T R/R 6′5″, 225 lb USA MLB debut 2025
40-man
  • Colorado’s roster as it stands starts at 3B · 448 PA · 1.6 WAR in the role
  • Injured list 2026: Concussion (Aug 23–Sep 7)
  • Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Young and cheap for years (age 24, about $58M of surplus value through 2031): a core piece.
xwOBA .331 wOBA .340
2026 fWAR 2.0
Projected 2027 WAR 1.6 at 453 PA · 1.6 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 472 PA

xwOBA .331 xwOBA: .331, 65th percentile
Swing decisions +0.76 Swing decisions: +0.76, 81st percentile
Contact value 0.00 Contact value: 0.00, 47th percentile
Bat speed 70.2 Bat speed: 70.2, 25th percentile
Squared-up / swing 24% Squared-up / swing: 24%, 65th percentile
Blasts / swing 8% Blasts / swing: 8%, 48th percentile
EV90 105.1 EV90: 105.1, 65th percentile
Barrel % 8.0% Barrel %: 8.0%, 53rd percentile
Chase % 24.8% Chase %: 24.8%, 80th percentile
Zone contact 88.0% Zone contact: 88.0%, 73rd percentile
Strikeout % 21.2% Strikeout %: 21.2%, 52nd percentile
Walk % 10.8% Walk %: 10.8%, 79th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP159.371.35321%9%27%+0.71+1.34
RHP313.324.32021%12%24%+0.79−0.77
Attack angle
7.7° (43% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−7.4°
Swing length
7.0 ft
Fast-swing rate
7%
Pull-air %
15.4%
Hard-hit %
41.2%
Slash · wRC+
.253/.347/.414 · 99

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−0.3+1.1+1.5+1.5−1.0−1.3+3.0−0.5+1.30.0+2.4+12.5−0.7−2.9+0.8−0.9−3.7−4.6−1.7+0.4−0.4+0.6+0.9−1.1+1.3RHB

Does the most damage middle-in (+12.5 vs. league per 100; 5.6 standard errors above average on 70 pitches).

Weakest down over the middle (−4.6; 2.3 standard errors below average on 115 pitches). Pitchers should attack here.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,715 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Karros: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
68Hunter Feduccia LAD · ’97.3150.50.1—
63Carson Benge NYM · ’03.3434.33.3Pre-arb
62Gabriel Moreno AZ · ’00.3655.44.0Arb
62Adley Rutschman BOS · ’98.3273.01.9Arb
61Drew Gilbert SF · ’00.3351.71.4Pre-arb

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
3B +1.9 +4.4
2B −0.1prior −0.6
1B +7.4prior −8.1
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
20263B+1+10.0+1.04,632
20253B+4+3−0.1+2.91,525

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 3B)
2025 · 3B2026 · 3B In (charging) +1−1Back 0+1Toward 3B line +20Toward 1B line +1+1vs. RHH +3+4vs. LHH +2−3
Tools (percentile; arm among 3Bs)
Arm at 3B 84.4 mph · 66th
Sprint speed 27.0 ft/s · 39th
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
20263B329−1.3
20253B122+9.8

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.6 WAR Pre-arb $780K*
2028 1.8 WAR Pre-arb $803K*
2029 1.9 WAR Arbitration $3.4M*
2030 1.9 WAR Arbitration $6.5M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AAAAHartford Yard Goats23417 PA 17 PA · .400/.471/.667 · 1 HR · 17.6% K · 11.8% BB
2025AAAAHartford Yard Goats2255234 PA 234 PA · .294/.399/.462 · 4 HR · 19.2% K · 13.7% BB
2025AAAAAAAlbuquerque Isotopes221668 PA 68 PA · .306/.368/.500 · 2 HR · 17.6% K · 7.4% BB
2025ROKROKACL Rockies22413 PA 13 PA · .400/.538/.600 · 0 HR · 7.7% K · 23.1% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 65% 11/17 won · +0.3 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.