Evan Carter
- Texas’ roster as it stands starts at CF · 445 PA · 1.8 WAR in the role
- Injured list 2026: Right oblique strain (Jun 13–Jun 28)
- Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Young and cheap for years (age 24, about $39M of surplus value through 2030): a core piece.
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 455 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 77 | .185 | .188 | 35% | 6% | 26% | +0.53 | −4.24 |
| RHP | 378 | .303 | .304 | 23% | 11% | 21% | +1.54 | −2.12 |
- Attack angle
- 8.0° (46% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- −5.8°
- Swing length
- 7.1 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 20%
- Pull-air %
- 16.6%
- Hard-hit %
- 34.9%
- Slash · wRC+
- .194/.288/.315 · 74
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage middle-in (+1.1 vs. league per 100; 0.5 standard errors on 77 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest up over the middle (−4.2), but only 2.0 standard errors from average on 84 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,700 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Carter: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | Anthony Volpe NYY · ’01 | .291 | 1.4 | 1.4 | Arb |
| 66 | Alex Freeland LAD · ’01 | .303 | 0.7 | 1.0 | — |
| 65 | Jackson Holliday BAL · ’03 | .293 | 0.5 | 1.0 | Pre-arb |
| 61 | Ryan Waldschmidt AZ · ’02 | .302 | 1.1 | 1.3 | Pre-arb |
| 59 | Matt McLain CIN · ’99 | .294 | 0.2 | 0.8 | Arb |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | CF | +11 | +10 | −1.2 | +8.8 | 4,326 |
| 2025 | CF | +4 | +3 | −0.1 | +2.9 | 1,900 |
| 2024 | CF | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 62 |
| 2024 | RF | 0 | 0 | +0.1 | +0.1 | 258 |
| 2024 | LF | −1 | −1 | +0.3 | −0.7 | 1,092 |
| 2023 | RF | 0 | 0 | +0.1 | +0.1 | 45 |
| 2023 | CF | +1 | +1 | +0.2 | +1.2 | 122 |
| 2023 | LF | +3 | +3 | +1.0 | +4.0 | 573 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
| Play | Made | Chances | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 2 | 14 | 14% |
| ★★★★ | 2 | 6 | 33% |
| ★★★ | 12 | 14 | 86% |
| ★★ | 26 | 27 | 96% |
| ★ | 18 | 18 | 100% |
| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | CF | 521 | +10.3 |
| 2025 | CF | 206 | +6.0 |
| 2024 | LF | 109 | +2.9 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026AA | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 23 | 1 | 3 PA | 3 PA · 1.000/1.000/2.500 · 1 HR · 0.0% K · 33.3% BB |
| 2025AA | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 22 | 1 | 5 PA | 5 PA · .000/.600/.000 · 0 HR · 0.0% K · 40.0% BB |
| 2025AAA | AAA | Round Rock Express | 22 | 24 | 102 PA | 102 PA · .207/.314/.379 · 3 HR · 25.5% K · 13.7% BB |
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant