Players / Player profile
BAL · 2B

Jackson Holliday

Age 22 B/T L/R 5′11″, 200 lb USA MLB debut 2024
40-man
  • Baltimore’s roster as it stands utility · 438 PA (2B 308, SS 75, 3B 55) · 1.0 WAR in the role
  • Injured list 2026: Left wrist inflammation (Sep 16–Sep 28)
  • Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Young and cheap for years (age 23, about $33M of surplus value through 2030): a core piece.
xwOBA .293 wOBA .287
2026 fWAR 0.5
Projected 2027 WAR 1.0 at 442 PA · 1.0 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 353 PA

xwOBA .293 xwOBA: .293, 14th percentile
Swing decisions +0.02 Swing decisions: +0.02, 48th percentile
Contact value −0.31 Contact value: −0.31, 35th percentile
Bat speed 70.5 Bat speed: 70.5, 28th percentile
Squared-up / swing 23% Squared-up / swing: 23%, 58th percentile
Blasts / swing 5% Blasts / swing: 5%, 20th percentile
EV90 101.7 EV90: 101.7, 20th percentile
Barrel % 6.4% Barrel %: 6.4%, 36th percentile
Chase % 26.8% Chase %: 26.8%, 68th percentile
Zone contact 81.8% Zone contact: 81.8%, 28th percentile
Strikeout % 23.8% Strikeout %: 23.8%, 37th percentile
Walk % 9.1% Walk %: 9.1%, 53rd percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP91.298.28927%10%25%+0.64+0.92
RHP262.284.29523%9%28%−0.21−0.73
Attack angle
9.5° (54% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−0.3°
Swing length
7.0 ft
Fast-swing rate
6%
Pull-air %
14.8%
Hard-hit %
33.1%
Slash · wRC+
.229/.300/.340 · 81

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+0.1−0.10.0−1.8−0.1−0.2+2.0+6.6+2.6+1.0+2.6−1.0−6.3−0.4+0.3+2.1−3.4−4.2−1.70.0−1.0−1.0+0.2+1.0−0.2LHB

Does the most damage up over the middle (+6.6 vs. league per 100; 2.9 standard errors on 63 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest middle-middle (−6.3; 2.9 standard errors below average on 79 pitches). Pitchers should attack here.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,221 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Holliday: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
78Anthony Volpe NYY · ’01.2911.41.4Arb
70Travis Bazzana CLE · ’02.3002.82.4Pre-arb
66Matt McLain CIN · ’99.2940.20.8Arb
65Evan Carter TEX · ’02.2861.21.7Arb
63Austin Hedges CLE · ’92.2901.00.5Free agent

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
2B −2.4 +0.1
SS −8.8 −4.3
3B −5.6prior −6.1
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
20263B−1−10.0−1.047
2026SS00−0.1−0.1156
20262B−10−1.1−1.13,008
2025SS000.00.0237
20252B−8−6−0.2−6.25,203
2024SS−100.00.059
20242B+1+1+0.4+1.41,967

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 2B)
2025 · 2B2026 · 2B In (charging) +6−1Back 0−1Toward 3B line −13−2Toward 1B line −2+3vs. RHH −4−2vs. LHH −40

At 2B in 2026, the biggest loss came toward 3B line (−2 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among 2Bs)
Arm at 2B 78.7 mph · 66th
Sprint speed 28.9 ft/s · 89th
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
20262B283+4.2
20252B483−15.4
20242B208−3.9

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.0 WAR Pre-arb $780K*
2028 1.3 WAR Arbitration $2.2M*
2029 1.5 WAR Arbitration $4.2M*
2030 1.5 WAR Arbitration $6.6M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026A+A+Frederick Keys2229 PA 9 PA · .250/.333/.375 · 0 HR · 0.0% K · 0.0% BB
2026AAAAChesapeake Baysox22310 PA 10 PA · .000/.400/.000 · 0 HR · 30.0% K · 40.0% BB
2026AAAAAANorfolk Tides221767 PA 67 PA · .183/.269/.300 · 1 HR · 29.9% K · 9.0% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 50% 2/4 won · −0.1 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.