AZ · P

Brandon Pfaadt

Age 28 B/T R/R 6′4″, 220 lb USA MLB debut 2023

40-man

Arizona’s roster as it stands #1 starter · 134 IP · 1.7 WAR in the role
Trade read Available at a price: AZ sits on the contender line (51% playoff odds, within a projected win of 50%), so it could buy or sell; control through 2032.

Keystone Stuff 96 31st pct

2026 fWAR 2.2

Projected 2027 WAR 2.0 at 156 IP · 1.7 in his 2027 role

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 2,032 pitches

Keystone Stuff 96

Keystone Location 111

Keystone Pitching 103

Run value (xRV) +0.23

Strikeout % 16.7%

Walk % 5.7%

Whiff % 21.3%

Chase % 32.1%

Fastball velo 93.2

Extension 6.6 ft

136.0 IP3.77 ERA3.89 FIP 27° arm

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

RHP · arm angle 28° · how to read

Pitch	Use	Velo	IVB	HB	Stuff	Loc	Whiff	xRV/100
Four-seam27% use	27%	93.2	14.8	+6.2	97	112	15%	+0.69
Sinker16% use	16%	93.1	6.9	+16.0	96	100	11%	+0.26
Changeup16% use	16%	87.0	3.5	+16.0	88	115	22%	−0.91
Curveball15% use	15%	82.4	−11.0	−9.5	98	100	33%	−1.23
Sweeper14% use	14%	84.2	5.0	−10.9	112	100	31%	+1.50
Cutter12% use	12%	90.4	8.6	+0.3	91	108	25%	+0.99

Weak pitch to watch

Changeup grades 88 with below-average expected results; his sweeper grades 112. Neither side has 60+ of each pitch. No mix change until it clears.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Pfaadt: same hand, shape, slot and mix

Similarity	Player	Stuff	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
71	Michael Soroka AZ · ’97	97	2.7	2.0	Free agent
60	Merrill Kelly AZ · ’88	93	−0.1	0.4	Signed $22.0M
59	Shane Bieber TOR · ’95	94	0.1	0.4	Free agent
59	Davis Martin CWS · ’97	88	2.6	1.8	Pre-arb
56	Aaron Nola PHI · ’93	101	1.3	1.0	Signed $24.6M

Michael Soroka (similarity 71, 2.0 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar arsenal available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Four-seam 29%

50% zone

Changeup 26%

30% zone

Curveball 20%

29% zone

Cutter 13%

53% zone

Sinker 10%

61% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 2.0 WAR Guaranteed $5.4M

2028 1.9 WAR Guaranteed $8.4M

2029 1.8 WAR Guaranteed $11.4M

2030 1.6 WAR Guaranteed $15.4M

Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2026AAA	AAA	Reno Aces	27	3	10 IP	10 IP · 1.80 ERA · 18.9% K · 5.4% BB