What is the best way to spend the money?
Winter Plan 81.7 wins · as it stands 79.0 · prospects traded on this page $16.4M (the plan’s: Jhostynxon Garcia + Jacob Gonzalez for Isaac Paredes)
Your 2027 depth chart
One season: 6,102 PA and 1,436 IP. Left to replacement level: 620 PA (DH 217, 1B 183, C 144) and 236 IP. Recomputed on every change. ↑ promotes a 40-man player to the 26-man, ↓ moves one off it, × removes him (trade, non-tender or release).
- A starter at every position.
- 2 catchers on the 26-man; Endy Rodríguez ended 2026 injured; 144 PA at catcher left to replacement level.
- 13 hitters and 13 pitchers on the 26-man.
- Shortstop cover on the bench: Jared Triolo; 309 PA at short go to fill-ins.
- Starting while coming back from injury: Mitch Keller. Medicals before counting on them.
Traded away: Jacob Gonzalez, Jhostynxon Garcia ($16.4M of prospect value).
Removed: Henry Davis
Add players
Ranked by the wins each adds to the roster on the left, after his package leaves it, not by his WAR alone. The totals also run the plan’s position-swap search (a swap worth 0.2+ wins), which this ranking skips to stay fast, so a move can land a few tenths off its listed wins
136 matches (top 40 shown) · salaries are est. 2027 under current rules
- Tarik Skubal LAD (FA) · SP · Free agent · rotation · PNC +0.08 +3.3 wins $40.2M × 8 Free agent: market estimate 8 yr × $40.2M (capped at the edge of last winter’s market: a floor more than a forecast) · 2 cautions
- Seiya Suzuki CHC (FA) · OF · Free agent · starts at RF · PNC −0.28 +2.5 wins $31.3M × 4 Free agent: market estimate 4 yr × $31.3M · Likely to receive a qualifying offer (an estimate until offers are made, about Nov 1–5). Signing him would cost Pittsburgh a draft pick worth about $5.8M ($4.0–9.3M) net of its bonus, under the current CBA.
- Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY (FA) · MI · Free agent · starts at 2B · PNC +0.15 +2.3 wins $32.6M × 4 Free agent: market estimate 4 yr × $32.6M · Likely to receive a qualifying offer (an estimate until offers are made, about Nov 1–5). Signing him would cost Pittsburgh a draft pick worth about $5.8M ($4.0–9.3M) net of its bonus, under the current CBA.
- Randy Arozarena SEA (FA) · OF · Free agent · starts at DH · PNC −0.20 +2.1 wins $32.3M × 3 Free agent: market estimate 3 yr × $32.3M · 2 cautions
- Jeremy Peña HOU · MI · Trade · starts at SS · PNC −0.17 +2.0 wins $18.2M + Callihan (35+), Johnson (45): $16.2M Damage on contact, poor swing decisions: an approach fix is the upside
- Trevor Rogers BAL (FA) · SP · Free agent · rotation · PNC +0.10 +2.0 wins $25.9M × 5 Free agent: market estimate 5 yr × $25.9M · Likely to receive a qualifying offer (an estimate until offers are made, about Nov 1–5). Signing him would cost Pittsburgh a draft pick worth about $5.8M ($4.0–9.3M) net of its bonus, under the current CBA.
- Riley Greene DET · OF · Trade · starts at LF · PNC +0.28 +1.9 wins $9.3M + Dotel (45), Sanford (45+): $31.2M Plus bat: 75.7 mph bat speed, 107.5 EV90
- Brandon Lowe PIT (FA) · MI · Re-sign · starts at 2B · PNC +0.23 +1.8 wins $30.8M × 3 Pending Pirates free agent; market estimate 3 yr × $30.8M · keeping him gives up a $8.6M compensation pick
- Jake Bauers MIL (FA) · 1B/DH · Free agent · starts at DH · PNC +0.16 +1.8 wins $17.7M × 2 Free agent: market estimate 2 yr × $17.7M · 2 cautions
- Dominic Canzone SEA · 1B/DH · Trade · starts at DH · PNC +0.19 +1.6 wins $3.9M + Barco (45), Sanford (45+): $26.9M Plus bat: 74.3 mph bat speed, 106.4 EV90
- Luis Arraez PHI (FA) · MI · Free agent · starts at 2B · PNC +0.21 +1.5 wins $16.3M × 2 Free agent: market estimate 2 yr × $16.3M · Big walk year
- Alec Burleson STL · 1B/DH · Trade · starts at 1B · PNC +0.20 +1.5 wins $6.1M + Delgado (40), Johnson (45): $20.0M Damage on contact, poor swing decisions: an approach fix is the upside
- Jhoan Duran PHI · RP · Trade · a top-4 bullpen arm by projected rate · PNC −0.02 +1.5 wins $9.7M + Cabrera (45): $9.5M Elite KC (115) thrown only 10%
- Cade Smith CLE · RP · Trade · a top-4 bullpen arm by projected rate · PNC −0.02 +1.5 wins $4.2M + Delgado (40), Gourson (45), Johnson (45): $34.5M Elite ST (116) thrown only 10%
- MacKenzie Gore TEX · SP · Trade · rotation · PNC +0.07 +1.5 wins $11.7M + Johnson (45): $14.5M ERA 4.58 vs FIP 3.87
- Shea Langeliers ATH · C · Trade · starts at C · PNC −0.27 +1.4 wins $7.5M + Delgado (40), Sanford (45+): $24.0M Plus bat: 75.2 mph bat speed, 107.2 EV90
- Ian Happ CHC (FA) · OF · Free agent · starts at LF · PNC +0.16 +1.4 wins $19.0M × 3 Free agent: market estimate 3 yr × $19.0M · A qualifying offer is a toss-up
- CJ Abrams WSH · MI · Trade · starts at DH · PNC +0.20 +1.4 wins $8.8M + Gourson (45), Johnson (45): $29.0M Damage on contact, poor swing decisions: an approach fix is the upside
- Kyle Stowers MIA · OF · Trade · starts at LF · PNC +0.20 +1.4 wins $4.0M + Ruiz (#44 pick), Johnson (45): $24.6M Plus bat: 75.4 mph bat speed, 106.9 EV90
- George Kirby SEA · SP · Trade · rotation · PNC −0.05 +1.4 wins $9.6M + Jared Jones (1B prospect, 35+), Sanford (45+): $20.5M Model-graded SL for his slot: 109 Stuff, above 68% of comps
- Kris Bubic LAD (FA) · SP · Free agent · rotation · PNC +0.03 +1.4 wins $11.4M × 3 Free agent: market estimate 3 yr × $11.4M · Missed most of 2026, 55 IP in 2026
- Hunter Greene CIN · SP · Trade · rotation · PNC −0.01 +1.4 wins $15.3M + Ruiz (#44 pick): $10.1M ERA 6.83 vs FIP 3.57 · Ended 2026 on the 60-day IL (Right elbow soreness), 27 IP in 2026
- Adrian Morejon SD (FA) · RP · Free agent · a top-4 bullpen arm by projected rate · PNC −0.01 +1.4 wins $23.2M × 2 Free agent: market estimate 2 yr × $23.2M (capped at the edge of last winter’s market: a floor more than a forecast) · 2 cautions
- Mauricio Dubón ATL (FA) · OF · Free agent · bench · PNC −0.08 +1.2 wins $14.4M × 2 Free agent: market estimate 2 yr × $14.4M
- Heriberto Hernández MIA · OF · Trade · starts at LF · PNC −0.24 +1.1 wins $780K + Barco (45), Johnson (45), Sanford (45+): $41.4M Hits LHP: 0.399 xwOBA vs LHP (163 PA), 0.350 once his split is regressed
- Casey Mize SD (FA) · SP · Free agent · rotation depth (a sixth starter) · PNC −0.02 +1.1 wins $14.2M × 3 Free agent: market estimate 3 yr × $14.2M
- Michael Soroka AZ (FA) · SP · Free agent · rotation · PNC −0.03 +1.1 wins $14.5M × 3 Free agent: market estimate 3 yr × $14.5M · Holds a $10.0M mutual option for 2027; one side almost always declines.
- Yainer Diaz HOU · C · Trade · bench · PNC −0.08 +1.1 wins $6.1M + Delgado (40), Barco (45): $13.9M Damage on contact, poor swing decisions: an approach fix is the upside
- Freddy Peralta TB (FA) · SP · Free agent · rotation depth (a sixth starter) · PNC −0.03 +1.1 wins $13.8M × 3 Free agent: market estimate 3 yr × $13.8M · Strong October (1.08 ERA in 16.2 IP)
- Kevin Gausman CHC (FA) · SP · Free agent · rotation depth (a sixth starter) · PNC −0.01 +1.0 wins $16.6M × 2 Free agent: market estimate 2 yr × $16.6M
- Sandy Alcantara MIA (FA) · SP · Free agent · rotation depth (a sixth starter) · PNC −0.09 +1.0 wins $16.4M × 3 Free agent: market estimate 3 yr × $16.4M · His $21.0M club option for 2027 is expected to be declined (projected value below it); the decision comes about five days after the World Series.
- Yandy Díaz TB · 1B/DH · Trade · starts at DH · PNC −0.08 +1.0 wins $13.0M + Owens (35+): $1.5M · overpaid by $3M Hits LHP: 0.351 xwOBA vs LHP (197 PA), 0.362 once his split is regressed
- Jacob deGrom TEX · SP · Trade · rotation · PNC −0.01 +1.0 wins $37.0M · salary only · overpaid by $23M ERA 4.20 vs FIP 3.11
- Michael Wacha KC · SP · Trade · rotation depth (a sixth starter) · PNC +0.01 +1.0 wins $14.0M + Cabrera (45): $9.5M Dead-weight SI: shift to CH worth ≈1.4 runs
- David Peterson CHC (FA) · SP · Free agent · rotation depth (a sixth starter) · PNC 0.00 +1.0 wins $12.7M × 2 Free agent: market estimate 2 yr × $12.7M
- Tyler Mahle ATL (FA) · SP · Free agent · rotation depth (a sixth starter) · PNC −0.03 +1.0 wins $13.5M × 2 Free agent: market estimate 2 yr × $13.5M · Strong October (1.35 ERA in 13.1 IP)
- Sonny Gray BOS (FA) · SP · Free agent · rotation · PNC −0.01 +1.0 wins $16.7M × 2 Free agent: market estimate 2 yr × $16.7M · 2 cautions
- Dustin May MIL (FA) · SP · Free agent · rotation depth (a sixth starter) · PNC −0.04 +1.0 wins $13.3M × 2 Free agent: market estimate 2 yr × $13.3M · Holds a $20.0M mutual option for 2027; one side almost always declines.
- Griffin Conine MIA · OF · Trade · starts at RF · PNC +0.10 +1.0 wins $780K + Barco (45), Johnson (45): $22.9M Plus bat: 74.1 mph bat speed, 107.7 EV90
- Jack Flaherty DET (FA) · SP · Free agent · rotation depth (a sixth starter) · PNC −0.01 +1.0 wins $10.8M × 2 Free agent: market estimate 2 yr × $10.8M